怎样选股? (14) 现金是王 Cash is King


一家公司盈利年年成长,但却面临倒闭的危机,只因被拖欠的债务没收回来,设有现金周转,故说现金是王。

另一家公司也是利年年成长,债务高涨,突然暴发假账风波,皆因,为欺骗投资者,故意报大销售额。

这一切,又得劳动我们的照妖镜,现金流动表。

重温一下,

现金流动表Cash Flow Statement 的演算为
净增加/减少现金数值 Net Increase/Decrease in Cash Flow
=
营业活动现金流Cash Flows from Operating Activities
(扣旧,债务人,债权人,存货Depreciation, Debtor, Creditor, Inventory)
  +
投资活动现金流Cash Flows from Investing Activities
(房地产,机器 Building, Land, Equipment)
+
融资活动现金流Cash Flows from Financing Activities
(股息,债务,贷款Dividend, Debt, Loan)

我们首先看净增加/减少现金数值 Net Increase/Decrease in Cash Flow ,一般上若是增加,是健全成长,若为减少我们便得小心,

基本上赤字预算如下 GREEN PACKET BERHAD 不断发展扩充其 WI-MAX 发射站的建设,故有负现金流动 (RM-26,685,000)。 但其银行现金还充足RM 208,001,000,应付其营业活动 (RM-20,921,000),但投资话动却比较吃紧 (RM-139,180.000)

我用手机拍下的Green Packet,位於 Jalan 222对面,我常经过那。

接下来,一般上都会以

营业活动现金流Cash Flows from Operating Activities > 收入 Net Income
来检定公司的收入有否转换为现金。

最后,投资者所关心的公司是否有能力分花红 Dividend,这得看公司的现金有多少,

现成流动现金Free Cash Flow
= Net Income + Depreciation/Amortization – Change in Working Capital – Capital Expenditures
= Cash Flows from Operating Activities – Capital Expenditures

以海鸥集团为例,RM53,764,552 – RM 9,243,668 = RM 44,520,884,总现金为 RM73,265,890, 可谓现金充足,故公司有充够能资本回购,买自己的股票并分发花红。

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6 Responses

  1. 小旺子兄,我好像看不是很明白。。

    (以海鸥集团为例,RM53,764,552 – RM 9,243,668 = RM 44,520,884,总现金为 RM73,265,890, 可谓现金充足,故公司有充够能资本回购,买自己的股票并分发花红。)

    RM44m是负债还是现金??RM73m是已经扣了RM44m还是已经加上RM44m??

  2. 前辈,有几个问题想请教,希望你可以为我解答:

    1. 以上的例子green packet的cashflow会否有问题?因为它的cash

    flow来源主要来自financing activities

    2. 什么是capital expenditure?如果照你给的例子HAIO,

    RM 9,243,668是cash flow from investing activies,这个就是

    capital expenditure?

    3. 如果有间公司的free cash flow是负数,是不时意味着这间公司有

    倒闭的危机?

    谢谢。

  3. Evan Koay
    RM 44m 是现金。 RM73M是包括了RM44M, RM73M是总现金。

  4. 勇115

    不必称呼前辈,小旺子即可。

    1. 暂时不会,因银行有RM 208,001,000 存款。

    2. Capital expenditure 指投资於发展固定资产而言。

    3. 未必,像Gpacket,银行充足资金,但要紧跟其发展,我是保守投资者,一方面年纪大了,避开风险。

  5. Just want to confirm whether Capital Expenditure = Net cash from investing activities.
    What if the Net cash from investing activities is negative in value? Do we still minus net cash from investing from net cash from operating in order to get the FCF?
    For Zhulian report dated 11/2008, net cash from operating = 50,453,000 while net cash from investing = -29,568,000, does it mean the FCF is 20,885,000? Thanks.

  6. Investing activities can be negative. Yes, FCF is 20,885,000

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